icebeartours.com

Just another WordPress weblog

New open source venture funding and the importance

23 Aug 2010

Perhaps the big story out of the Alfresco and REvolution investments is the activity of Intel and SAP in financing open-source companies.

Not always. Both companies use their venture arms to place strategic bets. If I’m an industry observer, it’s evident that both companies are placing big bets on open source. What does this mean you should be investing in?

I suppose the big news for me today, as an Alfresco employee, should be that we just closed a $9 million Series C round with SAP Ventures leading the round. But since we didn’t need the money (not even remotely) and I didn’t want the dilution, it’s not my favorite news of the day. Let’s just say that companies don’t always raise money for the money.

I was actually much more intrigued to see Zenoss add $11 million in Series B funding. Or Intel Capital’s Series A investment in REvolution Computing, which provides an open-source statistical tool with commercial support and leverages parallelism.

So here’s Intel, which apparently owes its existence to Microsoft, and SAP has gone on the record over and over in downplaying open source’s significance, both funding the open-source revolution. Money speaks more loudly than words do. SAP and Intel clearly think there’s something to this open-source thing, even if one accepts the argument that financial investments are separate from their strategic product directions.

SAP and Intel invest to make money, right?

Intel Capital has funded Red Hat, SuSE Linux, JBoss, MySQL, Zend Technologies, Fonality, CollabNet, and Black Duck. SAP Ventures? Black Duck, JasperSoft, Intalio, Groundwork, MySQL, Ping Identity, SocialText, Zend, Red Hat, and Sistina. These two companies have funded a large swath of open source’s top companies. Not all by any stretch, but many.

commentary

Exactly.

Earnings Microsoft and Google disappoint, while I

23 Aug 2010

In sum, Microsoft’s old businesses (Windows was up 15 percent, Tools, etc.) are thriving, but it can’t seem to get a foothold in the new world, with its online services business scraping to a $488 million loss. Its Office business also grew two percentage points slower than expected (14 instead of 16-percent growth), but this is probably a momentary blip compared to the continued costliness of trying to break onto the web in a meaningful way and owning the family room with the
XBox.

If there’s a recession on, you would hardly guess it from the earnings reports from Microsoft, Google, and IBM. In terms of revenue, Microsoft beat Wall Street expectations with an 18-percent rise to $15.64 billion over Q2 2007. Yet the Street pummeled Microsoft’s stock by 5 percent due to lowered guidance for the year and lower-than-expected profits, hinting at problems in the company’s newer businesses like online and XBox.

Regardless, despite Wall Street’s judgment of the three companies, all are doing quite well. It’s impressive to see companies as big of these grow at such significant percentages.

Well, Google seems to be suffering from the sheer magnitude of its promise. The company grew revenue by 39 percent over 2007 to $5.37 billion, but Wall Street punished its stock by over 10 percent in after-hours trading largely due to a marked deceleration in its paid clicks growth (20 percent, down from 30 percent in Q4 2007 and 45 percent in Q3 2007).

In other words, Google also suffers from the vulnerability of the larger advertising market, even as it takes a growing share of that market. Right about now, Google might be praying for a monopoly that is more dependable than its online advertising monopoly…like Microsoft’s desktop dominance. Google is selling what everyone should have; Microsoft is selling what everyone already does have…but could use a little more of.

commentary

And Google?

Meanwhile, Big Boring Blue (IBM) boosted its profits by 22 percent over 2007 and revenue by 13 percent, bolstered by IBM’s growth in emerging markets.

Revenue in the Americas, IBM’s biggest market, rose 8 percent, or 6 percent adjusting for the impact of the weak dollar. Sales in its Europe and Middle Eastern sales region grew 20 percent, while sales in Asia climbed 16 percent. The company, like other tech giants, has said it expects overseas strength to compensate for a weak U.S. economy.

IBM? It’s trying to reshape the world in America’s image, one server and consultant at a time.

IBM is the trusted grandfather figure in an iffy economy, a vendor that may be overpriced but is also very safe.

How popular is Vista

23 Aug 2010

Put another way, for every Vista user there were eight Windows XP users.

Microsoft issues sales figures for Vista licenses, but they have a vested interest and a corporate history that makes trusting them difficult. Market researchers come out with numbers based on surveys but the sample size is always small. That leaves usage statistics, specifically website usage.

The software that runs a web site is called a web server, the most popular programs being Apache and IIS. In addition to serving up web pages, every web server program also creates an activity log that includes information about visitors to the website. When a web browser requests a web page, it also sends information about itself to the web server in a character string called the “user agent”. You can see the user agent string for your web browser here.

Considering Vista just had its first birthday, this seemed like a good time to look at some statistics to get a feel for just how popular it is.

The most popular site that I can get stats for is a radio station in New York City. In January 2008 the site averaged 3,092 visits/day, 14,514 page views/day and 71,457 hits/day according to AWStats.

My most popular website is javatester.org. It offers a free service, reporting on the version of Java being used by your web browser(s). In January 2008 the site averaged 1,859 visits/day, 3,682 page views/day and 26,734 hits/day according to AWStats.

I’ve said before that I think Windows XP is the better choice for Windows users than Vista.
Apparently, many of you agree with me.

Reporting software, such as AWStats*, reads the log file, examines the user agent field and can determine the operating system running on the computer that requested each web page.

Slightly off-topic, but an interesting read: A computer shop’s sales pitch: ‘We remove Vista’ by Todd Bishop at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer.

*All stats reported here are from Advanced Web Statistics version 6.6 (build 1.887).
**Not all users of the website are running Windows, of course, but the stats shown here are just for Windows users. Comparing the popularity of Windows vs. Macs is another topic. Unfortunately, AWStats does not break down visits or page views by operating system, only “hits”.
***All percentages are rounded off.

See a summary of all my Defensive Computing postings.

Shown above are the stats for “hits” by Windows users of the website**. Simple division shows that XP accounted for 80% of the traffic and Vista accounted for 10%.*** Next up, were Windows 2000 at 4% and Windows Server 2003 with 3%. Amazingly, someone is still using Windows 3.1.

Shown above are the stats for Windows users of the radio station’s website. The percentages are surprisingly similar to the Javatester site - 82% of Windows users ran XP and 10% ran Vista. Next up was Windows 2000 at 5% and Windows 98 at 1%.

Google Sites is not the big story

23 Aug 2010

Eric Schmidt: Sites today, tomorrow the world?

“The Google solution is what I’d call patchwork, or Frankenstein, software…You have to put it all together yourself.”

Sure, the announcement is intriguing. But it’s not because we’re talking about Jotspot (or Google Sites, as the service was rechristened). I don’t want to suck up too much to my cubicle mate Dan Farber (well, maybe just a little), but he’s right about this being a show.

From my perspective, the company is doing better than skeptics thought. I’ve been saving up this quote from a story InformationWeek did on the eve of Google’s product rollout. The talking head was Tom Rizzo, a director for Office SharePoint Server at Microsoft.

Outside of a fanatic few, how many computer users really will give a fig about this particular announcement? After all, Google Sites is part of the company’s enterprise group and the burden of proof is on management to demonstrate that it knows how to deal with enterprise customers. From his previous tours of duty at Sun Microsystems and Novell, Eric Schmidt doesn’t need reminding.

But this is the equivalent of a golfing Mulligan. Even if it fizzles, the company’s stock isn’t in danger of collapse. More importantly, Sites is yet one more addition to Google’s growing arsenal of free applications. And they’re getting the hang of this.

The hullaballoo that attends every Google product debut triggers the predictable bloviation fest one normally associates with market-moving news. But much of the commentary about the debut of the revamped JotSpot technology misses the more interesting story.

A personal aside: When Google began offering apps a couple of years ago and I started to muck around with the offerings on my home PC, I wasn’t expecting much. Two years later, the only apps I use at home exist on Google’s cloud. Microsoft will have to develop an incredibly “wow” offering–or slash prices–before I again let them charge my credit card for the privilege of owning
Microsoft Office.

Precious, but not prescient. For the multitudes–not business–explain again why I should care. Forget the marketing blather. Most regular folks only use a small percentage of the functions Microsoft stuffs into its apps anyway.

Last.fm adds Universal’s music videos

23 Aug 2010

However, the Universal Music announcement comes just a week after Warner Music Group, another major label, pulled its catalog from Last.fm’s music service. CBS Interactive, which acquired Last.fm last year, said that a new contract is under negotiation.

Music videos from Universal Music Group’s artists are now available on social music site Last.fm, the companies announced Tuesday.

Disclosure: CNET Networks, parent of CNET News.com, is set to become part of Last.fm parent company CBS in an acquisition expected to close in the third quarter.

It’s the first time Last.fm is bringing music videos to its site, which began offering original video programming last month.

That will make ad-supported videos from artists like the Killers, Jay-Z, Snow Patrol, and Amy Winehouse available on Last.fm, which already had a partnership to stream Universal’s music catalog.

“We want to offer a video library that rivals our unparalleled music catalog, as we work towards Last.fm becoming the only place you need to go to for all music-related content,” co-founder Martin Stiksel said in a statement, “and this deal marks the first step towards that goal.” Rival Imeem, a start-up that focuses more on playlist creation than music discovery and which pulls in either comparable or greater traffic than Last.fm depending on which metrics source is used, has also been inking video deals, and the far bigger MySpace offers music videos on its MySpaceTV player.

This post was updated to clarify the size of Imeem compared to Last.fm.

A free utility uninstalls apps that Add or Remove

23 Aug 2010

Monday: Clear space on your hard drive by manually deleting the unnecessary files that auto-cleanup tools leave behind.

On Tuesday I reported on Microsoft Outlook 2007’s unexcused absence from my Vista PC. I thought the problem might due to Outlook 2003 being installed on the same machine. When I upgraded to Office 2007, the older versions of the apps remained on my system, even though I never used them. This didn’t appear to be a problem until Outlook 2007 took a hike.

I’m happy to report that Outlook 2007 has remained in place since I removed my old Office apps using the installer cleanup tool. I can’t say for sure that the two problems are related, but a fix is a fix.

The fix entails downloading and running Microsoft’s Windows Installer CleanUp Utility (this link starts the download automatically). The program also helps cure problems you encounter when trying to install Office and other apps that rely on the Windows Installer, including Adobe Acrobat. After you download and install the program, open it by clicking its shortcut on the Start menu, select the app from the list, and click Remove > OK > Exit.

Microsoft's Windows Installer CleanUp Utility can fix programs that refuse to install or be removed from your system.

Pay attention to Microsoft’s warnings about this tool: It changes your Registry, an activity that’s always fraught with peril. Also, if you reinstall the program, make sure you use the same directory as the previous installation to avoid placing duplicate copies of files on your hard drive.

My second surprise was my inability to uninstall Office 2003. Vista’s Programs and Features Control Panel applet (which XP calls Add or Remove Programs) would pop up this error message: “This patch package could not be opened. Contact the application vendor to verify that this is a valid Windows Installer patch package.” You’ll find more information about this and similar Windows error messages in this Microsoft knowledgebase article.

Lenovo takes wraps off IdeaCentre consumer desktop

23 Aug 2010

Lenovo’s never had a consumer desktop for the U.S. before, and you can tell by the spelling choice of the product name–IdeaCentre–that the U.S. isn’t the primary market for this PC. (The company has made consumer desktops for its home market in China for several years, however.)

*16-in-1 media card reader

*5.1-channel audio

*500GB hard drive

*A combination Blu-ray/HD DVD drive

So here they are:

Nevertheless, the Chinese company is finally making good on its promise back in early January of delivering the consumer desktop PC. It was initially announced along with its much more compelling notebook cousin, the IdeaPad line, at the Consumer Electronics Show, but the company was light on details.

*Windows Vista Home Premium

*The IdeaCentre K210 will have Intel Core2Quad processors and Intel GMA 3100 integrated graphics

(Credit:
Lenovo)

*Lenovo’s VeriFace technology, which is a facial-recognition system that enables users to employ their face as their computer password.

Lenovo’s new consumer desktop, the IdeaCentre.

*And for the germophobes, an anti-bacterial keyboard.

The IdeaCentre K210 is available now on Lenovo.com and other direct retailers, and starts at $379 after rebate.

*3GB memory standard, up to 4GB available

International flavor comes to OpenSocial with tran

23 Aug 2010

Hi5’s own site is already available in two dozen languages.

“As the leading music provider on hi5, we’re excited to know that hi5’s crowdsourcing service would expand iLike’s reach internationally, helping music spread among fans from different languages, geographies and cultures,” iLike CEO Ali Partovi said in a release.

Social network Hi5 plans to announce on Thursday that it has built a developer application with the Google-created OpenSocial standard that “crowdsources” language translation.

This makes it possible for OpenSocial-compatible social networks or applications to let their users work to translate a site or application’s text and interface into more languages, in turn making it easier for the service to have broader geographic reach. The translation app will be implemented on Hi5, a social network that was founded in San Francisco but is most popular in Spanish-speaking countries, as well as its own developer platform, and is open for more developers to use as well through OpenSocial.

The concept of crowdsourcing language translations caught fire when Facebook started enlisting volunteer members to help with the effort through an application on its own platform called Translation. The Hi5 application will, in effect, do the same thing for the OpenSocial platform.

Google built OpenSocial as a universal standard for social-network applications, and has since gained the following of almost every social site except for Facebook, which continues to use its own platform. Earlier this year, OpenSocial was spun off into a nonprofit organization separate from Google.

One big player in the social-app space that plans to use Hi5’s translation code is iLike, a music service that has become popular largely through applications for platforms from Facebook to Apple’s iTunes, and hopes to see its user base distributed around the world as well as across the Web. Another is RockYou, the “app factory” behind some of the most popular applications created with the Facebook and OpenSocial standards.

Postal Service site lets anyone hold your mail

23 Aug 2010

Don’t have a computer? Simply call 800-ASK-USPS

You can go to https://holdmail.usps.com (or click on Hold Mail at the Postal Service home page, as shown below) and put a hold on mail delivery. Notice that I didn’t say put a hold on your mail delivery. You can put a hold on mail delivered to anyone. This is true with the traditional system, too, but the Internet makes it worse, adding more anonymity and making the process easier. Too easy.

The agency site claims that it needs a name, address, and phone number to stop mail delivery. When tested, however, this turns out not to be the case. Requests with wrong names and wrong phone numbers were accepted, according to a listener who wrote in to the show. All you really need to know is an address.

If you’re going to be away from home for a while, the your local post office can hold your mail to avoid an overflowing mailbox. Fine.

In the old days (and you can still do this), you went to the office and filled out a form (PDF). Someone on the show who has done this said the Postal Service doesn’t validate the identity of the person who requests mail to be held. It validates only the identity of the person who comes to pick up the mail.

Wednesday night on Off The Hook, a radio show on WBAI in New York, Emmanuel Goldstein and the guys from 2600 discussed a feature on the Web site of the U.S. Postal Service that can only be described as ill-conceived.

Government techies copied this manual system to the Internet.

Off The Hook runs for an hour, but you can listen to this 8-minute segment here

And with the address, you can stop all mail delivery, not just mail to one person. Quoting from the Frequently Asked Questions: “All mail, regardless of name, will be held for the address entered. Submitting an online Hold Mail request once is all that is required to hold mail delivery for everyone at the address.”

See a summary of all my Defensive Computing postings.

WBAI has an MP3 of the entire show.

Your papers please TSA bans ID-less flight

23 Aug 2010

This new procedure will not affect passengers that may have misplaced, lost or otherwise do not have ID but are cooperative with officers. Cooperative passengers without ID may be subjected to additional screening protocols, including enhanced physical screening, enhanced carry-on and/or checked baggage screening, interviews with behavior detection or law enforcement officers and other measures.”

For a few years after September 11, 2001, TSA’s policies when it came to flying without ID were somewhat fuzzy. The agency, like many other parts of the Bush Administration, has hidden behind the shroud of classification–in TSA’s case, labeling everything Sensitive Security Information.

TSA’s new rules only protect us from a non-existent breed of terrorists who are unable to lie.

While TSA’s announcement stated that the goal of the change was to “increase safety,” this blogger disagrees. The change of rules seems to be a pretty obvious case of security theater. Real terrorists do not refuse to show ID. They claim to have lost their ID, or they use a fake.

In a press release issued on Thursday with little fanfare, TSA announced a major change in its rules.

Thanks to Gary @ View from the Wing for spotting TSA’s announcement.

“If a traveler is unwilling or unable to produce a valid form of ID, the traveler is required to undergo additional screening at the checkpoint to gain access to the secured area of the airport.”

With hundreds of millions of dollars having already been spent on the various no-fly lists, it is at least interesting to see that someone at TSA is now spending time on fixing the loopholes in the system. The most glaring of this has long been the fact that passengers can refuse to show (or claim to have forgotten) their ID. Simply put, without being able to know who is walking through a checkpoint, there is no way to know that the “bad guys” have been caught by the no-fly list.

In December 2007, TSA began testing out a secure, authenticated, tamper-proof boarding pass scheme. It has since been rolled out to a number of major airports around the country.

Seeking to clarify the rules, activist John Gilmore took the U.S. government to court in 2004. Gilmore chose to take a particularly hard line, by refusing to show ID to TSA and also by refusing to undergo the more thorough “secondary screening” search. He eventually lost his case before the 9th Circuit of the U.S. Court of Appeals.

“Beginning Saturday, June 21, 2008 passengers that willfully refuse to provide identification at security checkpoint will be denied access to the secure area of airports. This change will apply exclusively to individuals that simply refuse to provide any identification or assist transportation security officers in ascertaining their identity.”

Disclosure: I am supposed to be on a hiatus, but this topic was too important to leave alone. I am currently an intern at the American Civil Liberties Union of Northern California. These opinions are my own, and do not reflect anyone that pays me.

A change in policy

Of course, all of this is premised on the idea that the no-fly list is actually a useful safety tool–something that I, and a number of other prominent security experts, strongly disagree with. Simply put, terrorists do not pre-register their intent.

In a research paper published in 2007, I outlined a number of glaring loopholes allowing the total circumvention of the much criticized no-fly lists. The two main flaws were that passengers can modify boarding passes, and that they can refuse to show ID.

As long as TSA has existed, passengers have been able to fly without showing ID to government agents. Doing so would result in a secondary search (a pat down and hand search of your carry-on bag), but passengers were still permitted to board their flights. In some cases, taking advantage of this right to refuse ID came with fringe benefits–being bumped to the front of the checkpoint queue.

Fixing flaws vs. security theater

In a major change of policy, the Transportation Security Administration has announced that passengers refusing to show ID will no longer be able to fly. The policy change, announced on Thursday afternoon, will go into force on June 21, and will only affect passengers who refuse to produce ID. Passengers who claim to have lost or forgotten their proof of identity will still be able to fly.

Since then, in at least two letters to citizens, TSA has re-affirmed this right. In March 2008, a TSA official wrote that:

While the judges were not willing to let Gilmore avoid the secondary screening search, they did at least recognize the right to travel without showing ID–providing that passengers are willing to be subject to a pat down and a bit of probing:

“The identification policy requires that airline passengers either present
identification or be subjected to a more extensive search. The more extensive
search is similar to searches that we have determined were reasonable
and consistent with a full recognition of appellants constitutional right to
travel.”

These are interesting times, indeed.

To clarify: Passengers who refuse to show ID, citing a constitutional right to fly without ID will be refused passage beyond the checkpoints. Passengers who say they have left their ID at home, will be searched, and then permitted to board their flights.

As Bruce Schneier has noted before, the no-fly list is a collection of hundreds of thousands of people who are too dangerous to fly, but not guilty enough to be charged with a crime.

TSA’s new rule, while perhaps motivated by a desire to beef up security, is significantly flawed. Terrorists will lie, and claim to have lost their ID–while law-abiding citizens wishing to assert their rights will be hassled, and refused flight.